Football predictions, measured.Football predictions & betting tips today — Correct Score, HT/FT, 1X2, BTTS & Over/Under
Every market asks a different question about the same match. We answer each one against what actually happens on the pitch — counted, not guessed.
- 2,001 matches counted
- 5 markets, 5 leagues
- Daily free tips in 14 sports
664 events on today
- Kempton (AW) · 12 runners
- Kempton (AW) · 11 runners
- Kempton (AW) · 13 runners
How many goals a match really holds.
Over/Under, BTTS and Correct Score all start from the same question. Here is the answer across 2,001 top-five-league matches.
Matches by total goals
- 6%0 goals
- 17%1 goals
- 23%2 goals
- 23%3 goals
- 15%4 goals
- 9%5 goals
- 6%6+ goals
BTTS × Over/Under 2.5
Yes 43%e.g. 2-1, 2-2, 3-1 11%only 1-1
No 11%e.g. 3-0, 0-3, 4-0 35%e.g. 1-0, 2-0, 0-0
Same markets. Five different leagues.
League style moves every market before you look at a single team. Solid blue marks the highest value in each column.
| League | Goals / game | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Home win | Draw | Away win | Level at HT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga342 matches | 3.30 | 65% | 61% | 45% | 24% | 31% | 34% |
| Ligue 1350 matches | 2.83 | 54% | 52% | 45% | 25% | 30% | 39% |
| Premier League430 matches | 2.76 | 55% | 55% | 42% | 28% | 30% | 39% |
| La Liga449 matches | 2.75 | 51% | 57% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 43% |
| Serie A430 matches | 2.48 | 47% | 47% | 40% | 25% | 35% | 44% |
A league figure sets the scene — the fixture itself still has to be read on its own merits. Bundesliga averaged 3.30 goals a game and Serie A 2.48 — the same line means something different in each.
Go deeper on five markets.
Each VIP market has its own member page, read with the same numbers-first method.
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SIGNATURE
Correct Score
The two or three scorelines our analysts rate highest.
Open VIP Correct Score -
HT/FT
Half-time and final result, picked as one bet.
Open VIP HT/FT -
1X2
Home, draw or away — the members’ call on each fixture.
Open VIP 1X2 -
BTTS
Will both sides find the net? Yes and No picks.
Open VIP BTTS -
Over / Under
Goal totals around the 2.5 line, both directions.
Open VIP Over / Under
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Counted, not guessed.
Every number on this page comes from real results.
- 5LeaguesPremier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1.
- 2,001Matches countedEvery played match from the last full season and the current season.
- 5Markets measured1X2, Over/Under, BTTS, Correct Score and the half-time state for HT/FT.
- AutoRefresh cycleNew results are added automatically as the dataset updates.
Fourteen sports, all free.
From Sunday NFL slates and NBA nights to Grand Slams, race weekends, fight cards and the turf — a free page for each.
From numbers to a pick.
How we get from team data to a prediction in each market — and the questions worth asking before any selection.
How do you turn team stats into a prediction?
Start with each side's scoring and conceding rate in the right context — the home team at home, the away team on the road. That gives an expected goal range for the match. From there, each market is a different question about the same range: 1X2 asks who wins it, Over/Under asks how many goals it holds, BTTS asks whether both sides score, and Correct Score asks for the exact number.
What is a value pick?
A pick is "value" when the chance of it happening is higher than the odds suggest. Odds of 2.00 imply about a 50% chance; if your read of the match puts it nearer 58%, the price is generous. A value pick can still lose — the point is that, over many selections, generous prices matter more than any single result.
Why are draws so easy to overlook?
Because nobody plays for a draw — but roughly one match in four still ends level (25% in our current dataset). Tight, low-scoring leagues, evenly matched sides and fixtures where a point suits both teams all push that number up.
What is the difference between BTTS and Over 2.5?
They overlap but are not the same bet. 2-1 lands both; 3-0 is Over 2.5 but BTTS No; 1-1 is BTTS Yes but Under 2.5. In our dataset 11% of matches were BTTS Yes and Under 2.5 — every one of them a 1-1 — and 11% were Over 2.5 without both teams scoring.
How much does the league matter?
A lot. The same two-goal expectation means something different in the Bundesliga, which averaged 3.30 goals a game, than in Serie A at 2.48. League style shifts Over/Under, BTTS and draw rates before you look at a single team.
Where do the numbers on this page come from?
We count every played Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1 match from the last full season and the current season — currently 2,001 matches — and update the counts as new results come in.